Wednesday, 24 February 2016

What Was Noteworthy about the Nevada Caucus

The most interesting stat for me is that not only did Trump win evangelicals (as he did in SC); this time he won the self-described "very conservative". The Cruz campaign is about to go into free fall. And the theory that in a two-way race Rubio picks up everyone else's voters and ends up beating Trump 60-40 is going from amusing to sad. Rubio would get slightly better than 50% of previously uncommitted late-deciders, and however many Kasich supporters as could hold their noses and vote for him (i.e. against Trump). And that's it. It's not enough.

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